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Gold Prices Fall and Oil Prices Drop Over 1% Ahead of Federal Reserve Rate Decision 


Due to the retreat of risk aversion sentiment weighed against market considerations and the weakening of the US dollar index, gold prices barely held onto the 2330 level.  

Market focus shifted to the Federal Reserve policy meeting and the US non-farm payroll data to be released this week, in search of clues to the Fed’s interest rate trajectory.  

Meanwhile, the easing of the Middle East situation brought about by Hamas and Israel ceasefire negotiations, coupled with US inflation data denting the prospects of an impending rate cut, led to a drop in oil prices by over USD 1. 

Gold >> 

On Monday, due to the balancing act between the waning risk aversion sentiment and the weakening of the US dollar index, gold prices barely held onto the 2330 level, with spot gold maintaining volatility throughout the day.  

It reached a high of 2345 but ultimately closed down by 0.15% at USD 2334.3 per ounce. Market focus shifted to the Federal Reserve policy meeting and the upcoming release of US non-farm payroll data in search of clues to the Fed’s interest rate trajectory. 

Amidst global economic fluctuations and geopolitical uncertainties, gold, as a safe-haven asset, has been closely watched for its market trends. This week, the precious metals market will witness a series of important events, including the Fed’s policy decision and the release of US non-farm payroll data, which are expected to have a significant impact on the prices of gold and silver. 

Yesterday, gold’s technical outlook saw a rapid decline below the 2320 level during the Asian session, followed by a bottoming out and rebounding into a consolidation zone of mixed sentiment.  

In the afternoon European session, there was an accelerated push higher, breaking through the 2344 level before retracting and falling back.  

Eventually, during the US session, there was a second dip followed by a rebound, stabilizing around the 2325 level before oscillating back up to around 2346, where it faced resistance and ended the day with oscillating closing. 

Technical Analysis: 

Today’s short-term strategy for gold suggests prioritizing short positions during rebounds, with long positions considered as a secondary approach during pullbacks. 

  • Key resistance levels to watch in the short term are around 2350-2355. 
  • Key support levels to watch in the short term are around 2320-2315. 

WTI Crude Oil >>   

On Monday, ceasefire negotiations between Hamas and Israel eased tensions in the Middle East, while US inflation data dampened prospects of imminent rate cuts. WTI crude oil futures settled at USD 82.63 per barrel, down USD 1.22 or 1.5%, while Brent crude oil futures settled at USD 88.40 per barrel, down USD 1.10 or 1.2%. 

Recent data shows that the US PCE price index rose by 2.7% in March, higher than February’s increase of 2.5% and above the market’s expectation of 2.6%, indicating stubborn inflation in the US. The reduced market expectation of an early rate cut by the Federal Reserve contributed to the decline in oil prices.  

Another factor contributing to the decline in oil prices is the intensified ceasefire efforts between Israel and Hamas. A Hamas delegation visited Cairo on Monday for peace talks. In yesterday’s trading, oil prices fell during the Asian session to stabilize and rebound around the USD 82.9 level.  

In the afternoon, there was a further rebound but met resistance around the USD 83.9 level, leading to weak downward fluctuations. During the US session, the decline continued, breaking through the USD 82.9 level and reaching around USD 82.4 at weak closing. 

Technical Analysis: 

Today’s crude oil trading strategy suggests prioritizing short positions during rebounds, with long positions considered as a secondary approach during pullbacks 

  • Key resistance levels to monitor in the short term are around 84.0-84.5. 
  • Key support levels to monitor in the short term are around 81.5-81.0. 

Forward-looking Statements    
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Doo Prime has provided these forward-looking statements based on all current information available to Doo Prime and Doo Prime’s current expectations, assumptions, estimates, and projections. While Doo Prime believes these expectations, assumptions, estimations, and projections are reasonable, these forward-looking statements are only predictions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond Doo Prime’s control. Such risks and uncertainties may cause results, performance, or achievements materially different from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements.     

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Disclaimer    

While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information in this document, DOO Prime does not warrant or guarantee the accuracy, completeness or reliability of this information. DOO Prime does not accept responsibility for any losses or damages arising directly or indirectly, from the use of this document. The material contained in this document is provided solely for general information and educational purposes and is not and should not be construed as, an offer to buy or sell, or as a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell, securities, futures, options, bonds or any other relevant financial instruments or investments. Nothing in this document should be taken as making any recommendations or providing any investment or other advice with respect to the purchase, sale or other disposition of financial instruments, any related products or any other products, securities or investments. Trading involves risk and you are advised to exercise caution in relation to the report. Before making any investment decision, prospective investors should seek advice from their own financial advisers, take into account their individual financial needs and circumstances and carefully consider the risks associated with such investment decision. 

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