1. Forex Market Insight
Eurozone inflation is at a ten-year high. Meanwhile, hawkish statements made by ECB officials ahead of the policy meeting on September 9, 2021, as well as a much weaker-than-expected increase in Non-Farm Payrolls previously reported in the U.S., may have kept the Fed from rushing to scale back its massive stimulus measures, supporting the euro in the near term.
(EUR/USD 1-hour chart)
Today, the euro pays attention to the 1.1853-line. If the euro is inside the ascending channel, pay attention to the 1.1853-line of support. If the euro’s strength drops below the 1.1853-line it could possibly form a greater downside potential for the euro. At that time, pay attention to the support at 1.1820 and 1.1795.
GBP Intraday Trend Analysis
The pound is facing an accumulation of unfavorable factors. In addition, supply chain problems and worker shortages are weighing on the progress of the post-pandemic recovery for manufacturers.Adding on to that is the fact that the last week of August saw the highest number of Covid-19 cases in the UK in more than a month.
(GBP/USD 1-hour chart)
Today, the pound pays attention to the 1.3894-line. As long as it runs below the 1.3894-line, the pound is in an adjustment to the rising wave on the left. At that time, the lower support will be 1.3859, 1.3830 and 1.3798. If the strength of the pound breaks above the 1.3894-line, it could possibly open up a greater upside potential.
2. Precious Metals Market Insight
The market is now generally neutral on gold’s recent price trend. The latest U.S. jobs data has hit the Fed’s plans to reduce bond purchases, but tapering is not entirely out of the question. With U.S. stocks at record highs, gold still has a place in the portfolios of institutional investors.
(Gold 1-hour chart)
Today, gold is paying attention to the 1831-line. If the price of gold pierces the 1831 or runs below the 1831-line, then pay attention to the support at 1819 and 1805. If the price of gold breaks above 1831, it will open up a greater upside potential. At that time, pay attention to the 1844-line.
3. Commodities Market Insight
WTI Crude Oil
OPEC+ agreed to adhere to the existing schedule of gradual monthly production increases. Meanwhile, the delegates stated that the ministers are agreeable in continuing the 400,000 bpd monthly increase.
This was discussed via a video conference, which lasted less than an hour. The discussion was one of the shortest in recent memory – a stark contrast to the difficult negotiations in July. Given that crude prices have largely recovered the ground lost in mid-August, and the relatively tight supply outlook for the year, there is little reason for OPEC+ to change its schedule for gradual increase in monthly production.
Ultimately, about 45% of idle capacity has now been restored, and in July, OPEC+ planned to gradually restore the remaining capacity until September 2022.
(Crude oil 1-hour chart)
Oil prices are focused on the suppression of the Bollinger Band Middle Rail. As long as oil prices run steadily below the Bollinger Band Middle Rail, they will still maintain a bearish trend, followed by 68.57, Bollinger Band Lower Rail and 66.83 first-line support. Once the oil price stands on the middle track of the Bollinger Band again, it will test the suppression of the 69.75 line.
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