Weaker Dollar Lifts Gold; Silver Hits a New All-Time High

2025-12-12 | Crude Oil , Gold , Market Dynamics , ommodities , Precious Metals

Market Update

Spot gold traded near 4280 dollars per ounce on Thursday, surging to its highest level in more than a month after the Federal Reserve’s rate cut and continued weakness in the US dollar. Gold touched 4285.75 dollars, while silver skyrocketed to a record high of 64.28 dollars. The US Dollar Index fell to an eight-week low, boosting precious metals.

WTI crude traded near 57.93 dollars per barrel, falling on Thursday as geopolitical shifts and rising US fuel inventories added pressure to oil markets.


Gold

Precious metals strengthened on Thursday, with gold climbing to a one-month high and silver breaking yet another all-time record.

Spot gold rose 1.2 percent to 4285.75 dollars, the highest since October 21. Gold futures gained 2.1 percent, settling at 4313 dollars.
Silver surged nearly 4 percent to 64.22 dollars, briefly touching a historic 64.28 dollars intraday.

Analysts highlighted the weaker US dollar as the primary driver, making USD-priced metals cheaper for overseas buyers. Silver’s explosive momentum also supported broader precious metals. Historically, rate cuts while inflation remains above target tend to benefit gold.

The Fed delivered its third rate cut of the year but signaled it may pause to monitor labor market and inflation trends. Market attention now turns to the December 16 nonfarm payrolls report for clues on the Fed’s next steps.

Gold Technical Outlook

Gold has broken above its previous range and is firmly holding above the 4200 level, confirming strong bullish momentum. Price action shows consecutive bullish closes, MACD expansion, and healthy RSI positioning.
Daily structure shows three consecutive small-body bullish candles, a steady continuation pattern.

Bollinger Bands are opening upward, with upper resistance near 4285, suggesting potential for another upside breakout if momentum builds.


Today’s Gold Levels

Bias: Buy the dip; sell small rebounds
Resistance: 4300–4320
Support: 4255–4235


Crude Oil

Oil declined on Thursday as geopolitical developments and rising US fuel inventories weighed on sentiment.

Brent crude fell 1.49 percent to 61.28 dollars, while WTI slid 1.47 percent to 57.60 dollars. Both benchmarks briefly broke below their October lows.

EIA data showed gasoline and distillate stocks each rising by roughly 2.5 million barrels, signaling oversupply in refined products and weakening demand expectations.

Markets also weighed the potential for a Russia-Ukraine peace agreement, which could bring more Russian crude back into global supply chains.
However, the US seizure of an oil tanker near Venezuela underscored ongoing geopolitical risks that could interrupt flows.

Technical Outlook

Oil remains in a secondary downtrend, repeatedly testing the 56-dollar support area. MACD shows weak bearish momentum at the daily level.

On the hourly chart, crude has resumed its downtrend and continues printing new lows. Moving averages remain in bearish alignment.

Short-term momentum suggests further downside toward the key 56-dollar support zone.


Today’s Levels

Bias: Sell the rallies; buy only deep pullbacks
Resistance: 59.5–60.5
Support: 57.0–56.0


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